Chairman Kaufmann Op-Ed: Trump Wins, Selzer Loses
DES MOINES - Iowa GOP Chairman Jeff Kaufmann statement regarding his Op-Ed in the Washington Examiner:
"Our voters showed the country what the Iowa GOP knew all along: President Trump is wildly popular in our state and he was always going to win big in Iowa. As I said before, Ann Selzer and the Des Moines Register lost any shred of credibility they had left. The 'gold standard' is gone - you can barely even call her the 'plastic standard' after this."
More Background: In the 2018 governor’s race, Selzer had Fred Hubbell up by 2 percentage points in September, 43%-41%. In the final November poll, she had Hubbell up 46%-44%. The result? Gov. Kim Reynolds (R-IA) won by 3 points.
In the 2020 Senate race, Selzer had Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA) behind Theresa Greenfield by 3 points in June and 3 points in September. Then, in the final October poll, Ernst was “suddenly” up 4 points. The result? Joni Ernst won by 7 points. This particular race was not a matter of her being wrong in the end — it’s about her manufacturing fake support for a Democratic candidate.
In the 2022 attorney general race, the October Selzer poll had Thomas John Miller up by 16 points on Brenna Bird. The result? Brenna Bird won by a point, meaning Selzer was off by 17 points.
In the presidential caucuses, she was wrong twice. In 2012, Selzer had Mitt Romney winning with 24% while having Rick Santorum at 15%. The result? Santorum finished with 25%. In 2016, Selzer had Donald Trump at 28%, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) at 23%, and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) at 15%. The result? Cruz won with 28%, Trump finished with 24%, and Rubio finished with 23%.
Click here to read the entirety of Chairman Kaufmann's Op-Ed in the Washington Examiner
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